My project
Climate, Harvests, and Price Expectations – A Comparative Analysis across Europe and China from the 16th to the 20th Century (CLIMAGR)
This project aims to conduct a comparative analysis of the relationship between climate and agricultural productivity in specific regions of Europe and China from the 16th to the early 20th century. Using Vector Autoregression (VAR) models to analyze over 13,000 data points, the study examines how agricultural outputs and climatic conditions interact within these regions. By including staple price variables in our models, we broaden the analysis to encompass human behavioral impacts on the agriculture-climate nexus, investigating how market forces may alter this dynamic. The findings of this research not only highlight the significant effects of climate and human behavior on agriculture but could also shed light on the divergent economic growth patterns of Europe and China prior to the Great Divergence.
My publications
“Weather, agriculture, and economic stability: Reassessing the impact of temperature and precipitation on early modern Tuscany (16th–17th century)” published in Rural History (April, 2026).
My events and conferences
European Researcher Night – Brussels, Belgium – 2024
ASE conference – 2025
My videos